Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Eastleigh |
59.53% ( -0.18) | 22.38% ( -0.01) | 18.09% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.37% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.14% ( 0.33) | 47.86% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.96% ( 0.3) | 70.04% ( -0.3) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( 0.05) | 15.7% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( 0.09) | 44.76% ( -0.09) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.75% ( 0.42) | 40.25% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.12% ( 0.38) | 76.88% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Eastleigh |
1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.52% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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