Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
21.16% ( 1.3) | 22.12% ( 0.72) | 56.73% ( -2.02) |
Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( -1.48) | 42.35% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.24% ( -1.49) | 64.75% ( 1.5) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.43) | 33.82% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% ( 0.46) | 70.49% ( -0.46) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.26% ( -1.12) | 14.74% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.04% ( -2.19) | 42.96% ( 2.2) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gateshead | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
2 | Rochdale | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 17 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
4 | York City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Eastleigh | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 16 |
6 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Woking | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
16 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 7 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Fylde | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 |
23 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 2 |
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