Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.