National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium
We said: Gateshead 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge
Gateshead earned a vital win at Aldershot on the weekend and will now be confident of collecting three points on home soil on Tuesday night against Dagenham.
The Daggers make the long midweek trip to the North East for this game, and we feel Strevens's men could come up short on Tyneside in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.92% . A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.8%) . The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result Gateshead Draw Dagenham & Redbridge 46.92% ( 0.95) 24.62% ( -0.13) 28.46% ( -0.82)
Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.13)
53.35% ( 0.09) 46.64% ( -0.09)
31.08% ( 0.08) 68.91% ( -0.08)
80.04% ( 0.44) 19.95% ( -0.44)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.88% ( 0.71) 52.12% ( -0.71)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
69.91% ( -0.55) 30.09% ( 0.54)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.77% ( -0.66) 66.23% ( 0.66)
Gateshead 46.92%
Dagenham & Redbridge 28.46%
Draw 24.62%
Gateshead Draw Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.92% 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62% 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.46%
How you voted: Gateshead vs Dag & Red
Gateshead
Draw
Dagenham & Redbridge
Dagenham & Redbridge
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
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