Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
32.7% ( -0) | 24.85% ( 0) | 42.45% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( -0.01) | 45.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( -0.01) | 68.03% ( 0.01) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -0.01) | 26.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( -0.01) | 62.06% ( 0.01) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0) | 21.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -0.01) | 54.63% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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