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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Aldershot Town
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The EBB Stadium.
Gateshead

Aldershot
2 - 3
Gateshead

Partington (7'), Jordan (90+2')
Cordner (32'), Kenlock (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (20'), Dinanga (48', 57')
Pye (45+2'), Campbell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Aldershot Town and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Aldershot Town 0-1 Gateshead

Aldershot recorded a much-needed win at Southend last weekend but have failed to earn back-to-back wins in the National League since November. Gateshead were improved during their stalemate with Torquay and should have enough about them to pick up three vital points in Hampshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawGateshead
32.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.85% (0.0040000000000013 0) 42.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 57.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)45.71% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.03% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.78% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 32.7%
    Gateshead 42.45%
    Draw 24.85%
Aldershot TownDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.7%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.45%

How you voted: Aldershot vs Gateshead

Aldershot Town
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Gateshead
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Aldershot
0-2
Gateshead
Thomson (63'), Salkeld (85')
Barrow (83')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227


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