Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Wrexham |
29.13% ( -0.89) | 24.08% ( 0.19) | 46.79% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 58.24% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.15% ( -1.36) | 43.85% ( 1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% ( -1.34) | 66.24% ( 1.34) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( -1.28) | 28.19% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( -1.66) | 63.88% ( 1.66) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( -0.25) | 18.89% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% ( -0.42) | 50.38% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.13% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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