Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
57.95% ( -1.43) | 21.51% ( 0.19) | 20.54% ( 1.23) |
Both teams to score 57.57% ( 1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% ( 0.91) | 40.39% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% ( 0.93) | 62.76% ( -0.94) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.29% ( -0.14) | 13.7% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.06% ( -0.28) | 40.94% ( 0.27) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.71% ( 1.77) | 33.29% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.09% ( 1.9) | 69.91% ( -1.9) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.32% Total : 57.95% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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