Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
57.95% ( -1.43) | 21.51% ( 0.19) | 20.54% ( 1.23) |
Both teams to score 57.57% ( 1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% ( 0.91) | 40.39% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% ( 0.93) | 62.76% ( -0.94) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.29% ( -0.14) | 13.7% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.06% ( -0.28) | 40.94% ( 0.27) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.71% ( 1.77) | 33.29% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.09% ( 1.9) | 69.91% ( -1.9) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.32% Total : 57.95% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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