Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.