Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Hartlepool United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: York City 2-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for York City had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
34.88% ( 0.26) | 25.32% ( 0.06) | 39.79% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
