Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | York City |
45.37% ( 0.05) | 23.71% ( -0.03) | 30.91% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 60.62% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.81% ( 0.11) | 41.18% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.42% ( 0.11) | 63.57% ( -0.11) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( 0.06) | 18.42% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( 0.11) | 49.57% ( -0.11) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( 0.04) | 25.68% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.4% ( 0.05) | 60.6% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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