Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
16.75% ( -0.08) | 21.83% ( 0) | 61.42% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.14) | 47.67% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( -0.13) | 69.86% ( 0.13) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.26% ( -0.18) | 41.74% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.79% ( -0.16) | 78.21% ( 0.16) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( -0.03) | 15.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% ( -0.05) | 43.48% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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