Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
73.99% ( 0) | 15.55% | 10.46% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.59% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.71% ( 0) | 33.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.95% ( 0) | 55.05% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.32% ( 0) | 7.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.62% ( 0) | 27.38% |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.05% ( -0) | 41.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.61% ( -0) | 78.39% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 7.89% 4-0 @ 5.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.43% 5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-0 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.13% 6-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.98% | 1-1 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4% 0-0 @ 3.22% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.55% | 1-2 @ 3.12% 0-1 @ 2.8% 0-2 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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