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Maidenhead United
National League | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.20pm UK
York Road Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Maidenhead
2 - 2
Wrexham

Smith (57'), McCoulsky (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mullin (28', 60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Maidenhead United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Maidenhead United 1-3 Wrexham

Alongside promotion rivals Notts County, the Red Dragons have been a level above the rest of the National League this season, and while Maidenhead enter Saturday's encounter in promising form, we think that they will fall short against a Wrexham side who are aiming for a seventh consecutive away victory in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawWrexham
21.86% (-0.85 -0.85) 22.79% (-0.665 -0.66) 55.35% (1.514 1.51)
Both teams to score 55.19% (1.046 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (1.932 1.93)44.47% (-1.931 -1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (1.844 1.84)66.84% (-1.844 -1.84)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (0.28999999999999 0.29)34.35% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95% (0.309 0.31)71.05% (-0.309 -0.31)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07% (1.226 1.23)15.93% (-1.226 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.81% (2.207 2.21)45.19% (-2.205 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 21.86%
    Wrexham 55.35%
    Draw 22.79%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 5.85% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 21.86%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.471 -0.47)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.289 0.29)
0-3 @ 5.65% (0.227 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.179 0.18)
1-4 @ 2.77% (0.239 0.24)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.205 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.138 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.125 0.13)
0-5 @ 0.95% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.35%

How you voted: Maidenhead vs Wrexham

Maidenhead United
13.8%
Draw
0.0%
Wrexham
86.2%
29
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Maidenhead
3-2
Wrexham
Ferdinand (17'), Mingi (23'), Kelly (77')
Mullin (45'), Davies (57')
Tozer (71')
Hosannah (31')
May 3, 2021 3pm
Maidenhead
2-2
Wrexham
Barratt (15'), Comley (32')
Wiltshire (43'), Upward (83'), Ince (90')
Davies (55'), Angus (78')
Young (16')
Oct 12, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City24156348202851
2Forest Green RoversForest Green25149244212351
3Barnet25155551302150
4Gateshead25145649321747
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2512584536941
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9Yeovil TownYeovil26106103230236
10Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
11AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
12Eastleigh2581163533235
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2678112737-1029
18Aldershot TownAldershot25510103543-825
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2565142336-1323
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2565143149-1823
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2437142140-1916
24Ebbsfleet2617181962-4310


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