Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
22.99% (![]() | 22.79% (![]() | 54.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.81% (![]() | 43.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% (![]() | 65.59% (![]() |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% (![]() | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% (![]() | 69.15% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% (![]() | 15.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.91% (![]() | 45.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 5.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.99% | 1-1 @ 10.67% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |