Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.26%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.