Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Fylde |
43.09% ( -0.27) | 24.74% ( 0.04) | 32.17% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( -0.08) | 45.37% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( -0.08) | 67.71% ( 0.08) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( -0.16) | 21.11% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% ( -0.24) | 53.95% ( 0.25) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( 0.11) | 26.95% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.72% ( 0.14) | 62.28% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Fylde |
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |