Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.