Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
20.94% ( 1.63) | 22.65% ( 0.98) | 56.41% ( -2.6) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% ( -2.07) | 44.97% ( 2.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -2.02) | 67.33% ( 2.02) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.48% ( 0.48) | 35.52% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% ( 0.49) | 72.28% ( -0.48) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( -1.54) | 15.75% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.14% ( -2.94) | 44.86% ( 2.94) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 3% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.34) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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