Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
57.43% ( 0.27) | 24.04% ( -0.11) | 18.53% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% ( 0.21) | 53.78% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% ( 0.18) | 75.26% ( -0.17) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( 0.18) | 18.56% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( 0.3) | 49.82% ( -0.3) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.79% ( -0.06) | 43.21% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.53% ( -0.05) | 79.46% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 13.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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