Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.