National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
We said: Tamworth 1-2 Hartlepool United
If Hartlepool can play with the same tenacity and desire that they showed against Southend, it would not be surprising if they emerged as victors on Tuesday.
However, Tamworth were able to cause Sutton difficulties in their opening game of the National League season, and they could prove to be stubborn opponents once again.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.12% . A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%) . The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hartlepool United.
Result Tamworth Draw Hartlepool United 32.5% ( 0.15) 25.38% ( -0.03) 42.12% ( -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.14)
51.87% ( 0.15) 48.13% ( -0.16)
29.71% ( 0.14) 70.29% ( -0.15)
71.91% ( 0.17) 28.08% ( -0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.25% ( 0.22) 63.75% ( -0.22)
77.25% ( 0) 22.75% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.57% ( 0.01) 56.43% ( -0.02)
Tamworth 32.5%
Hartlepool United 42.12%
Draw 25.38%
Tamworth Draw Hartlepool United 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.5% 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.12%
How you voted: Tamworth vs Hartlepool
Tamworth
Draw
Hartlepool United
24
rhs 2.0
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