Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.4% ( 0.58) | 23.42% ( 0.31) | 44.18% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 62.45% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.9% ( -1.27) | 39.1% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.57% ( -1.34) | 61.42% ( 1.34) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% ( -0.28) | 23.78% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.07% ( -0.4) | 57.93% ( 0.39) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( -0.86) | 18.07% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% ( -1.49) | 48.98% ( 1.48) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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