Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.