Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
Result | ||
Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
38.33% ( -1.62) | 24.95% ( -0.14) | 36.72% ( 1.76) |
Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.58% ( 0.85) | 45.41% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.25% ( 0.8) | 67.75% ( -0.8) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -0.45) | 23.45% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( -0.66) | 57.46% ( 0.66) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% ( 1.38) | 24.31% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.31% ( 1.92) | 58.68% ( -1.92) |
Score Analysis |
Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
> National League Full Table |