Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.