Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.14% ( -0.52) | 23.85% ( -0.03) | 30.01% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% ( 0.42) | 42.29% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% ( 0.42) | 64.7% ( -0.42) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% ( -0.05) | 18.55% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% ( -0.08) | 49.79% ( 0.08) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( 0.58) | 26.81% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% ( 0.75) | 62.11% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
> National League Full Table |