Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.