Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Gateshead |
40.77% ( 0.21) | 24.21% ( -0.04) | 35.01% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.83% ( 0.17) | 42.17% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.42% ( 0.17) | 64.58% ( -0.17) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0.17) | 20.82% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% ( 0.27) | 53.5% ( -0.27) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.02) | 23.75% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( -0.02) | 57.89% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 35.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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