Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
50.82% ( -2.07) | 23.02% ( 0.42) | 26.16% ( 1.65) |
Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -0.44) | 41.11% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% ( -0.45) | 63.51% ( 0.45) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( -0.88) | 16.31% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% ( -1.62) | 45.89% ( 1.62) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( 1.04) | 28.91% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( 1.28) | 64.79% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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