Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 15 at 12.45pm in National League
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
We said: Wrexham 3-1 Yeovil Town
Wrexham know they are three wins away from promotion to the Football League, and a home clash with Yeovil is almost a perfect opportunity to earn their 21st win at the Racecourse Ground this term. The Glovers travel to Wales knowing nothing other than a historic win will save their fifth-tier status, but we see them being unable to resist the might of the Red Dragons on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 3.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
86.64% ( -0.08) | 9.46% ( 0.06) | 3.89% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.21% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.11% ( -0.25) | 29.89% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.3) | 51.06% ( 0.3) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.38% ( -0.06) | 4.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 81.17% ( -0.17) | 18.83% ( 0.18) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.16% ( -0.1) | 57.84% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.49% ( -0.06) | 89.51% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 3-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 86.63% | 1-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.46% | 0-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.9% |
