Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
44.29% ( -0.2) | 25.02% ( 0.14) | 30.69% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 56% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% ( -0.57) | 47.21% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% ( -0.54) | 69.44% ( 0.54) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( -0.33) | 21.34% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( -0.52) | 54.3% ( 0.52) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% ( -0.24) | 28.81% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% ( -0.3) | 64.67% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Wealdstone |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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