We said: York City 2-1 Dorking Wanderers
With just two points separating the two sides in the National League table, we expect Tuesday's encounter to be a close-fought contest.
While fine margins should decide the fixture, we think that York will do enough to claim all three points against a Dorking side that has lost five of their last six matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.