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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Latvia national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmezs
Faroe Islands national football team

Latvia
1 - 0
Faroe Islands

Varslavans (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Petersen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Latvia and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Armenia 4-1 Latvia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

Faroe Islands

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-1 N. Macedonia
Saturday, September 7 at 2pm in Nations League

We said: Latvia 1-0 Faroe Islands

 While the Faroe Islands only lost their advantage on Saturday due to a cheap penalty, they were under the cosh for large periods and could have easily been put to the sword on another day. Facing a hostile atmosphere in Riga, we cannot picture the visitors avenging their Baltic Cup loss to Latvia, who may very well come up trumps by just the one goal once more. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Latvia in this match.

Result
LatviaDrawFaroe Islands
36.93% (-0.249 -0.25) 29.83% (-0.052 -0.05) 33.24% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Both teams to score 42.47% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.34% (0.188 0.19)64.66% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.35% (0.131 0.13)83.65% (-0.134 -0.13)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)33.56% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)70.21% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.92% (0.319 0.32)36.07% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.14% (0.323 0.32)72.86% (-0.325 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 36.92%
    Faroe Islands 33.23%
    Draw 29.82%
LatviaDrawFaroe Islands
1-0 @ 13.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 12.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.82%
0-1 @ 12.34% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 33.23%

How you voted: Latvia vs Faroe Islands

Latvia
72.0%
Draw
21.0%
Faroe Islands
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2024 5pm
Third-Place Playoff
Latvia
1-0
Faroe Islands
Cigaņiks (50')

Joensen (29')
> Preview
Nov 14, 2020 5pm
League D
Latvia
1-1
Faroe Islands
Kamess (59')
Kigurs (77'), Ontuzans (88')
Vatnhamar (60')
Davidsen (58')
Oct 10, 2020 5pm
League D
Faroe Islands
1-1
Latvia
Faero (28')
Nattestad (58')
Ikaunieks (25')
Rugins (19'), Uldrikis (31'), Oss (88')
Oct 7, 2017 5pm
Group Stage
Faroe Islands
0-0
Latvia
Oct 7, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
0-2
Faroe Islands
Ragnar Nattestad (19'), Simun Edmundsson (70')
rhs 2.0
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