Armenia

4 - 1

Latvia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Armenia would win this match.