MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:38:30| >> :120:59942:59942:
Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Belarus national football team

N. Ireland
2 - 0
Belarus

Ballard (50'), Charles (63' pen.)
Brown (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pechenin (59'), Gromyko (68'), Antsilevski (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 5-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Northern Ireland 2-1 Belarus

The hosts have been strong at home in recent games, and it would not be surprising if they won once again. Belarus have also been poor away from home, and it is difficult to see how they achieve a positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.14%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northern Ireland would win this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawBelarus
63.38% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03) 24.56% (-0.012 -0.01) 12.06% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 32.5% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.26% (0.102 0.1)64.74% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.29% (0.073 0.07)83.71% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.028000000000006 0.03)20.55% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)53.07% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.91% (0.139 0.14)59.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.82% (0.074 0.07)90.18% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 63.37%
    Belarus 12.06%
    Draw 24.55%
Northern IrelandDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 19.21% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 15.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 63.37%
0-0 @ 12.14% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 12.06%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Belarus

Northern Ireland
86.6%
Draw
7.1%
Belarus
6.3%
112
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
League C
Belarus
0-0
N. Ireland
Pechenin (18'), Palitsevich (41')
Toal (43')
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belarus
0-1
N. Ireland

Korzun (35')
McNair (86')
Lewis (57'), Evans (69'), Lafferty (83'), Dallas (92')
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
N. Ireland
2-1
Belarus
Evans (30'), Magennis (87')
Stasevich (33')
Laptev (82')
May 27, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
N. Ireland
3-0
Belarus
rhs 2.0
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