Nations League | League D
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
San Marino1 - 1Gibraltar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Andorra 2-0 San Marino
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: San Marino 0-2 Gibraltar
It is difficult to see how San Marino avoid defeat given they have only won one competitive match in their history. Gibraltar are also unbeaten in recent games, and it would not be surprising if they won on Friday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Marino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Marino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Gibraltar |
43.75% ( 0.08) | 24.89% ( -0) | 31.36% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
