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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Slovakia national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Dnipro Arena
Azerbaijan national football team

Slovakia
2 - 0
Azerbaijan

Duda (23' pen.), Strelec (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Seydiyev (15'), Cafarquliyev (37'), Bayramov (42'), Aliyev (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-1 Slovakia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

We said: Slovakia 1-0 Azerbaijan

 Slovakia were dominant in Tallinn on Thursday night against Estonia, so the Falcons should be confident of easing past the attentions of Azerbaijan on home soil. Milli Komanda have struggled significantly on the road over the past 12 months, and we expect that theme to continue in Kosice on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 75.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result
SlovakiaDrawAzerbaijan
75.98% (-0.137 -0.14) 15.64% (0.038 0.04) 8.38% (0.1011 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.05% (0.187 0.19)40.95% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (0.191 0.19)63.34% (-0.189 -0.19)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.92% (0.01400000000001 0.01)9.07% (-0.0129 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30.85% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.41% (0.36799999999999 0.37)51.59% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.26% (0.239 0.24)85.73% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 75.96%
    Azerbaijan 8.38%
    Draw 15.64%
SlovakiaDrawAzerbaijan
2-0 @ 13.47% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.035 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 75.96%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.95% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.64%
0-1 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.46% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 8.38%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Azerbaijan

Slovakia
85.3%
Draw
6.4%
Azerbaijan
8.3%
109
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
League C
Slovakia
1-2
Azerbaijan
Jirka (90+3' pen.)
Dadasov (44'), Haghverdi (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 10, 2022 5pm
League C
Azerbaijan
0-1
Slovakia

Richard (19')
Weiss (81')
De Marco (74'), Satka (87'), Bero (90+3'), Weiss (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
2-0
Azerbaijan
Bozenik (19'), Hamsik (86')
Haraslin (62'), Skriniar (82')

Silvestre (45'), Huseynov (45'), Khalilzada (88')
Jun 11, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
1-5
Slovakia
Sheydaev (29')
Krivotsyuk (70')
Lobotka (8'), Kucka (27'), Hamsik (30', 57'), Hancko (85')
rhs 2.0
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