MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:29:50| >> :120:55821:55821:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Slovenia national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Arena Petrol
Norway national football team

Slovenia
2 - 1
Norway

Sporar (69'), Sesko (81')
Sporar (64'), Stojanovic (64'), Kurtic (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Braut Haaland (47')
Thorstvedt (37'), Thorsby (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Slovenia 2-2 Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Norway

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Norway 3-2 Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Slovenia 1-2 Norway

 We expect to see a closely-fought encounter in Slovenia on Saturday, but the visitors' greater quality in midfield and attack is likely to prove the difference in the end. Norway could secure promotion to League A with a victory, so Haaland is likely to be more motivated than ever to add to his tally of 20 international goals and counting. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
SloveniaDrawNorway
36.79% (0.266 0.27) 24.18% (-0.07 -0.07) 39.03% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.77% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.368 0.37)41.76% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.37 0.37)64.17% (-0.369 -0.37)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (0.31 0.31)22.61% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (0.455 0.45)56.22% (-0.454 -0.45)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (0.067999999999998 0.07)21.48% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48% (0.10299999999999 0.1)54.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 36.79%
    Norway 39.03%
    Draw 24.17%
SloveniaDrawNorway
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.03%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Norway

Slovenia
12.9%
Draw
10.0%
Norway
77.1%
140
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League B4
Norway
0-0
Slovenia

Thorstvedt (76')

Stojanovic (1'), Sporar (90+1')
Blazic (63')
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
League C3
Slovenia
1-1
Norway
Verbic (9')
Rotman (72')
Johnsen (85')
Rosted (56'), Jarstein (74')
Oct 13, 2018 5pm
League C3
Norway
1-0
Slovenia
Selnaes (45')
Elyounoussi (44')

Bijol (84')
rhs 2.0
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