MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:33:02| >> :120:70413:70413:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Sweden national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
Estonia national football team

Sweden
3 - 0
Estonia

Gyokeres (30', 44'), Isak (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Palumets (50'), Tamm (89')
Palumets (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Estonia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-1 Slovakia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

We said: Sweden 3-0 Estonia

 Sweden possess attacking talent that does not belong in Nations League C, with the likes of Isak and Gyokeres set to put Estonia to the sword on Sunday night. The Blueshirts have struggled on the road in recent times, and we cannot envisage a positive result for the visitors at Strawberry Arena this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (12.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sweden in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result
SwedenDrawEstonia
79.39% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 14.28% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 6.33% (0.049 0.05)
Both teams to score 38.25% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (0.112 0.11)42.54% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (0.111 0.11)64.94% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)8.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02)29.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.88% (0.23 0.23)58.12% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.34% (0.122 0.12)89.66% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 79.37%
    Estonia 6.33%
    Draw 14.28%
SwedenDrawEstonia
2-0 @ 15.05% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 12.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 79.37%
1-1 @ 6.68% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.22% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 14.28%
0-1 @ 2.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.81% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 6.33%

How you voted: Sweden vs Estonia

Sweden
88.1%
Draw
5.9%
Estonia
5.9%
101
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 6pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
2-1
Estonia
Nanasi (30'), Kiese Thelin (53')
Eriksson (39')
Palumets (19')
Mihhailov (35'), Andre Vallner (84')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Sweden
2-0
Estonia
Claesson (22'), Forsberg (55')
Helander (72')

Kuusk (69'), Poom (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-5
Sweden

Mets (14')
Gyokeres (18'), Kulusevski (24'), Isak (39'), Quaison (75'), Claesson (90+2')
Hien (21')
> Preview
Mar 31, 2021 4.45pm
Friendlies 1
Sweden
1-0
Estonia
Berg (4')
Sema (61'), Svanberg (80')

Kirss (52'), Purg (73'), Anier (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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