MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:50:12| >> :600:3441101:3441101:
Ukraine national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tarczynski Arena
Czech Republic national football team

Ukraine
1 - 1
Czech Republic

Dovbyk (53' pen.)
Kryskiv (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cerv (18')
Chory (64'), Cerv (89'), Lingr (90+5'), Kliment (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Ukraine and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-0 Georgia
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-0 Albania
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Ukraine 1-1 Czech Republic

This is a really tricky match to call, with both sides picking up impressive wins last time out. Czech Republic shaded their contest in September, but we are expecting a very close game on Monday, with the points potentially being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
UkraineDrawCzech Republic
27.28% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 26.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 46.28% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)54.75% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.081 -0.08)76.07% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.74% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)35.25% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (-0.118 -0.12)72.01% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)57.71% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 27.28%
    Czech Republic 46.27%
    Draw 26.43%
UkraineDrawCzech Republic
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.53% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.28%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 12.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.67% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.27%

How you voted: Ukraine vs Czech Republic

Ukraine
39.5%
Draw
36.4%
Czech Republic
24.0%
129
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Czech Republic
3-2
Ukraine
Sulc (21', 45+2'), Soucek (80' pen.)
Krejci (47'), Vitik (48'), Cerny (54'), Soucek (64'), Zeleny (68')
Vanat (37'), Sudakov (84')
Sudakov (70'), Yaremchuk (81')
Sep 8, 2021 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Czech Republic
1-1
Ukraine
Vydra (90+4')
Sadilek (46'), Kral (73')
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Ukraine
1-0
Czech Republic

Celustka (19'), Pavelka (90')
Sep 6, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Czech Republic
1-2
Ukraine
Schick (4')
Husbauer (21'), Soucek (53')
Konoplyanka (45'), Zinchenko (90')
rhs 2.0
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