We said: Czech Republic 2-1 Albania
Approaching the midpoint of this Nations League campaign, there is plenty at stake: winning Group 1 offers a potential route into the next World Cup.
As Albania do not tend to travel well, Czech Republic should continue their scoring streak on home turf, and victory will put them back in the hunt for top spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 13.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.