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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 0
Newry City AFC

Place (19' pen.), Gibson (52'), McDaid (88')
Place (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carville (25'), Lockhart (51'), Forde (56')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 3-2 Ballymena
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Newry City AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
37.03% (0.381 0.38) 25.38% (-0.386 -0.39) 37.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.39% (1.362 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (1.738 1.74)47.41% (-1.736 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (1.588 1.59)69.63% (-1.586 -1.59)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (1.022 1.02)25.05% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (1.39 1.39)59.73% (-1.389 -1.39)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.804 0.8)24.75% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (1.106 1.11)59.31% (-1.103 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 37.03%
    Newry City AFC 37.58%
    Draw 25.38%
Ballymena UnitedDrawNewry City AFC
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.147 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.161 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.431 -0.43)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.147 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 37.58%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Ballymena
3-1
Newry City AFC
Friel (55'), Mayse (67'), Lecky (81')
McCabe (63')
Carville (68')
Nov 23, 2018 8pm
Newry City AFC
1-2
Ballymena
Montgomery (68')
Coleman (61')
Lecky (36'), McGrory (44')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Ballymena
3-0
Newry City AFC
Millar (11'), Lecky (63'), McGrory (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield29214454213367
2GlentoranGlentoran26145733221147
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon28134114033743
4CrusadersCrusaders29134123840-243
5PortadownPortadown28126103732542
6LarneLarne2411672720739
7CliftonvilleCliftonville28116113732539
8ColeraineColeraine2798104038235
9GlenavonGlenavon2697102934-534
10Ballymena UnitedBallymena26103133136-533
11Carrick RangersCarrick2857162344-2122
12Loughgall2734202562-3713
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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