Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glentoran in this match.