With elimination staring them in the face, Argentina need no extra motivation to produce a positive showing from the off against Iraq. Their opponents will be tough to beat, but Mascherano's side will put their tournament-opening defeat against Morocco behind them to notch a significant win against the Lions of Babylon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq Under-23s win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Iraq Under-23s
26.36% ( 11.29)	23.57% ( 4.17)	50.07% ( -15.46)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

4.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.53% (

-3.36)

43.47% (

3.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.13% (

-3.39)

65.87% (

3.39)

Argentina Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

9.32)

30.01% (

-9.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

9.9)

66.13% (

-9.9)

Iraq Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

-6.01)

17.46% (

6.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06% (

-11.66)

47.94% (

11.66)

Score Analysis

Argentina Under-23s 26.36%

Iraq Under-23s 50.07%

Draw 23.56%

Argentina Under-23s	Draw	Iraq Under-23s
2-1 @ 6.63% ( 2.37) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 2.1) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 1.83) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 1.34) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.89) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.91) Other @ 3.13% Total : 26.36%	1-1 @ 11% ( 1.89) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 1.18) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.74) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -2.59) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( -1.54) 0-3 @ 4.64% ( -3) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -1.42) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -2.11) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.34) Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.07%