MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 12:54:38| >> :600:4383227:4383227:
Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Allianz Riviera

Morocco U23s
3 - 0
Iraq U23s

Richardson (19'), Rahimi (28'), Ezzalzouli (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mohammed Hussein Ali (9'), Hasan (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Morocco and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine U23s 2-1 Morocco U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Argentina U23s 3-1 Iraq U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: Morocco 2-1 Iraq

Given the stakes of the game, we expect both sides to go all out in search of maximum points as they look to reach the knockout stages. Morocco boast a superior squad on paper and we fancy them to come away with all three points, albeit the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Iraq Under-23s had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Iraq Under-23s win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Morocco Under-23sDrawIraq Under-23s
42.46% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 25.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.21% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.61% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (0.054000000000002 0.05)48.01% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (0.048999999999999 0.05)70.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Morocco Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.012 -0.01)22.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)56.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Iraq Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (0.078999999999994 0.08)28.22% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (0.101 0.1)63.92% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Morocco Under-23s 42.46%
    Iraq Under-23s 32.21%
    Draw 25.33%
Morocco Under-23sDrawIraq Under-23s
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Morocco U23s vs Iraq U23s

Morocco Under-23s
83.6%
Draw
7.3%
Iraq Under-23s
9.1%
55