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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 4
Cracovia

Diaby-Fadiga (12'), Kubicki (26')
Moutinho (79')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kallman (3', 54'), Jugas (30'), Bochnak (90+4')
Kucharczyk (79'), Atanasov (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia
Saturday, August 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawKS Cracovia
59.33% (-0.376 -0.38) 23.01% (0.333 0.33) 17.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-0.922 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (-1.274 -1.27)51.01% (1.272 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-1.129 -1.13)72.87% (1.128 1.13)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.578 -0.58)16.86% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-1.039 -1.04)46.88% (1.038 1.04)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.39% (-0.705 -0.7)42.61% (0.705 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.04% (-0.606 -0.61)78.96% (0.60499999999999 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 59.31%
    KS Cracovia 17.67%
    Draw 23.01%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 11.38% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 59.31%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.193 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 17.67%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 28
Jagiellonia
1-3
Cracovia
Ghita (9' og.)
Stojinovic (45+5'), Naranjo (90+1')
Dieguez (16')
Rakoczy (22'), Hoskonen (25'), Atanasov (49')
Rakoczy (43'), Skovgaard (45+7'), Kakabadze (58'), Atanasov (90+2')
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Cracovia
2-4
Jagiellonia
Ghita (57'), Glik (60')
Glik (64'), Smiglewski (86')
Wdowik (7'), Normann Hansen (9', 49'), Marczuk (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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