Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Legia Warsaw
34.81% ( 0.17)	24.84% ( 0.04)	40.35% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 58.06% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.84% (

-0.16)

45.16% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5% (

-0.16)

67.5% (

0.15)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

0.02)

25.26% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

0.03)

60.01% (

-0.03)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.68% (

-0.17)

22.32% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.21% (

-0.26)

55.79% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 34.81%

Legia Warsaw 40.35%

Draw 24.84%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.81%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.35%