MX23RW : Sunday, September 8 00:16:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
vs.
Jagiellonia

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 5-2 Motor Lublin
Sunday, September 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Next Game: Motor Lublin vs. Gornik
Friday, September 13 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Next Game: Lech Poznan vs. Jagiellonia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 34.39% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).

Result
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
40.92% (11.376 11.38) 24.69% (-0.162 -0.16) 34.39% (-11.213 -11.21)
Both teams to score 58.52% (2.613 2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.47% (2.513 2.51)44.53% (-2.512 -2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (2.388 2.39)66.9% (-2.386 -2.39)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (7.75 7.75)21.77% (-7.748 -7.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (10.574 10.57)54.96% (-10.574 -10.57)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (-4.516 -4.52)25.2% (4.517 4.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (-6.657 -6.66)59.94% (6.658 6.66)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 40.92%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 34.39%
    Draw 24.68%
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.79% (1.627 1.63)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.915 0.92)
2-0 @ 6.38% (1.831 1.83)
3-1 @ 4.47% (1.554 1.55)
3-0 @ 3.24% (1.392 1.39)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.783 0.78)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.814 0.81)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.671 0.67)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.473 0.47)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.414 0.41)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.619 -0.62)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.208 0.21)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-1.305 -1.31)
0-1 @ 7.56% (-2.059 -2.06)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-2.369 -2.37)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-1.209 -1.21)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-1.588 -1.59)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.656 -0.66)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.39%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan7511113816
2Legia WarsawLegia7421168814
3Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice742196314
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin7412138513
5KS CracoviaCracovia74121310313
6Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia6402119212
7Rakow CzestochowaRakow732253211
8Widzew Lodz732298111
9Katowice72237708
10Gornik ZabrzeGornik7223911-28
11Zaglebie Lubin722357-28
12Puszcza Niepolomice71428807
13Motor Lublin613258-36
14Radomiak Radom62041014-46
15Korona Kielce713349-56
16Lechia GdanskGdansk7124815-75
17Slask Wroclaw6042610-44
18Stal Mielec711549-54


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