MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:48:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
5 - 2
Motor Lublin

Kapustka (30', 69'), Wszolek (36' pen.), Alfarela (48'), Nsame (90+2')
Goncalves (4'), Feio (5'), Luquinhas (45+4'), Vinagre (53'), Augustyniak (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rudol (9'), Jacques Ndiaye (90')
Stolarski (0'), Jacques Ndiaye (40'), Rudol (45+1'), Ceglarz (56')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Drita 0-1 Legia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawMotor Lublin
58.62% (0.074000000000005 0.07) 23.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 18.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.37% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.31% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.019999999999996 0.02)16.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)46.91% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)41.48% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02% (-0.067 -0.07)77.98% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 58.62%
    Motor Lublin 18.3%
    Draw 23.07%
Legia WarsawDrawMotor Lublin
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 18.3%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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