MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:37:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
3 - 4
Widzew Lodz

Ceglarz (1'), Rudol (14'), Welniak (86')
Serge Simon (39')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Mraz (22' og.), Rondic (24', 42'), Alvarez (56')
Sypek (48'), Shehu (90'), Rondic (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Korona Kielce
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawWidzew Lodz
35.31% (0.265 0.27) 25.56% (0.02 0.02) 39.12% (-0.287 -0.29)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (-0.055 -0.05)48.35% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.052 -0.05)70.49% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.13 0.13)26.47% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.174 0.17)61.65% (-0.176 -0.18)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.175 -0.17)24.35% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.248 -0.25)58.75% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 35.31%
    Widzew Lodz 39.12%
    Draw 25.56%
Motor LublinDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.31%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.12%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan15111330121834
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1510232821732
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow159421961331
4KS CracoviaCracovia159243324929
5Legia WarsawLegia157442819925
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin157172120122
7Widzew Lodz156452019122
8Gornik ZabrzeGornik156361917221
9Motor Lublin156362227-521
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice155551817120
11Katowice155462422219
12Zaglebie Lubin155371421-718
13Radomiak Radom145181921-216
14Korona Kielce154471222-1016
15Stal Mielec154381419-515
16Lechia GdanskGdansk152581728-1111
17Puszcza Niepolomice152581325-1211
18Slask Wroclaw141671122-119


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